December 12, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Josh Koscheck's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Josh Koscheck for the expected result. Had Jeff Joslin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 982 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Josh Koscheck earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 991 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Jeff Joslin controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (83 vs 48 total strikes). However, since Jeff Joslin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Josh Koscheck's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 9:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Josh Koscheck dominated Jeff Joslin on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:16 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +25 |
Josh Koscheck demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Josh Koscheck capitalized on this activity level, while Jeff Joslin's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +22 |
Josh Koscheck extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeff Joslin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeff Joslin | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.