June 3, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Jeff Molina overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Zhalgas Zhumagulov.
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 057 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 124 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jeff Molina receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 148 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 129 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 191 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Jeff Molina dominated the striking exchanges with 129 vs 68 total strikes, 56 vs 37 significant strikes. Jeff Molina capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 5:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Jeff Molina did not secure a significant ground advantage against Zhalgas Zhumagulov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Jeff Molina demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jeff Molina capitalized on this activity level, while Zhalgas Zhumagulov's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 068 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -16 |
Jeff Molina extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zhalgas Zhumagulov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeff Molina | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 057 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.