April 14, 2006
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Jeff Monson's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeff Monson for the expected result. Had Marcio Cruz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 028 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jeff Monson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 154 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 069 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Jeff Monson dominated the striking exchanges with 154 vs 51 total strikes, 32 vs 40 significant strikes, 29.1% vs 37.7% accuracy. Jeff Monson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:09 | 1:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 161 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Jeff Monson controlled Marcio Cruz on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:09 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -26 |
Jeff Monson demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jeff Monson capitalized on this activity level, while Marcio Cruz's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Jeff Monson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcio Cruz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeff Monson | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 028 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

