Jeff Newton vs Sam Hoger

November 18, 2005

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

945
(-55)
Jeff Newton
Winner: Sam Hoger
Submission
Round 2 • 2:05

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jeff Newton-55
Sam Hoger+62
1047
(+62)
Sam Hoger

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -32Sam Hoger: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9681 029
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Sam Hoger's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Hoger for the expected result. Had Jeff Newton pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -21Sam Hoger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 018
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -43Sam Hoger: +67

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:052:05
Win Type ELO9571 057
ELO Change-43+67
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What Happened

Sam Hoger earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jeff Newton was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -74Sam Hoger: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Significant Strikes Landed210
Significant Strikes Attempted1021
Total Strikes Landed435
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9261 066
ELO Change-74+74
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What Happened

Sam Hoger controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 4 total strikes, 10 vs 2 significant strikes, 47.6% vs 20.0% accuracy. Sam Hoger capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -204Sam Hoger: +204

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:094:44
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO7961 113
ELO Change-204+204
💡

What Happened

Sam Hoger dominated Jeff Newton on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:44 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -21Sam Hoger: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Days Since Last FightN/A106
Activity ELO9791 050
ELO Change-21+53
💡

What Happened

Sam Hoger demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sam Hoger capitalized on this activity level, while Jeff Newton's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -21Sam Hoger: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 022
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Sam Hoger started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeff Newton is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jeff Newton: -21Sam Hoger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJeff NewtonSam Hoger
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 018
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.