Jeka Saragih vs Lucas Alexander

November 17, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1015
(+55)
Jeka Saragih
Winner: Jeka Saragih
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:31

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jeka Saragih+55
Lucas Alexander-46
969
(-46)
Lucas Alexander

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +37Lucas Alexander: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Total UFC Fights23
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 016982
ELO Change+37-35
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +22Lucas Alexander: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 001978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +120Lucas Alexander: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:311:31
Win Type ELO1 078975
ELO Change+120-50
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What Happened

Jeka Saragih earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +116Lucas Alexander: -116

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Significant Strikes Landed411
Significant Strikes Attempted916
Total Strikes Landed411
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 032940
ELO Change+116-116
💡

What Happened

Lucas Alexander controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (11 vs 4), superior accuracy (68.8% vs 44.4%). However, since Lucas Alexander lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jeka Saragih's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +72Lucas Alexander: -72

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:050:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO986919
ELO Change+72-72
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +24Lucas Alexander: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Days Since Last Fight287238
Activity ELO1 0031 002
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Jeka Saragih demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jeka Saragih capitalized on this activity level, while Lucas Alexander's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +25Lucas Alexander: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 004981
ELO Change+25-22
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What Happened

Jeka Saragih started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lucas Alexander is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jeka Saragih: +22Lucas Alexander: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 001978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.