June 22, 2018
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 935 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Yuta Sasaki's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yuta Sasaki for the expected result. Had Jenel Lausa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 955 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:04 | 4:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 921 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +41 |
Yuta Sasaki earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:04, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jenel Lausa was submitted.
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 850 | 972 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Yuta Sasaki controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 9 total strikes, 25 vs 7 significant strikes. Yuta Sasaki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 6:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 711 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -110 | +110 |
Yuta Sasaki dominated Jenel Lausa on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:51 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 274 |
| Activity ELO | 957 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Yuta Sasaki demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Yuta Sasaki capitalized on this activity level, while Jenel Lausa's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Yuta Sasaki started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jenel Lausa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jenel Lausa | Yuta Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 955 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.