Jennifer Maia vs Katlyn Cerminara

November 1, 2019

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1017
(-22)
Jennifer Maia
Winner: Katlyn Cerminara
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jennifer Maia-22
Katlyn Cerminara+26
1104
(+26)
Katlyn Cerminara

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -27Katlyn Cerminara: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Total UFC Fights48
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 0351 138
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Katlyn Cerminara for the expected result. Had Jennifer Maia pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -19Katlyn Cerminara: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0051 075
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -29Katlyn Cerminara: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0251 191
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -27Katlyn Cerminara: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Significant Strikes Landed5873
Significant Strikes Attempted231180
Total Strikes Landed74109
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0071 090
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 74 total strikes, 73 vs 58 significant strikes, 40.6% vs 25.1% accuracy. Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -21Katlyn Cerminara: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time2:310:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9951 034
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jennifer Maia on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -19Katlyn Cerminara: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Days Since Last Fight106148
Activity ELO1 0471 131
ELO Change-19+39
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What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Jennifer Maia's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -18Katlyn Cerminara: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0141 096
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jennifer Maia is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jennifer Maia: -19Katlyn Cerminara: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0041 075
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.