July 13, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Liz Carmouche's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Liz Carmouche for the expected result. Had Jennifer Maia pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Liz Carmouche earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Liz Carmouche dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 55 total strikes, 53 vs 42 significant strikes, 67.9% vs 40.4% accuracy. Liz Carmouche capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:29 | 5:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 924 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Liz Carmouche controlled Jennifer Maia on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:21 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Liz Carmouche demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Liz Carmouche capitalized on this activity level, while Jennifer Maia's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Liz Carmouche started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jennifer Maia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.