November 18, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Jennifer Maia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 109 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 253 | 272 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jennifer Maia controlled the striking exchanges with 117 vs 84 total strikes, 109 vs 80 significant strikes, 43.1% vs 29.4% accuracy. Jennifer Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:44 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Jennifer Maia did not secure a significant ground advantage against Maryna Moroz on the ground with 1:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Jennifer Maia demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jennifer Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Maryna Moroz's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Jennifer Maia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maryna Moroz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.