July 19, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 062 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -27 |
Jennifer Maia overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Roxanne Modafferi.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Jennifer Maia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 174 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 034 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Jennifer Maia controlled the striking exchanges with 111 vs 76 total strikes, 83 vs 29 significant strikes, 47.7% vs 26.4% accuracy. Jennifer Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:19 | 3:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Jennifer Maia controlled Roxanne Modafferi on the ground with 3:19 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Jennifer Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jennifer Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Roxanne Modafferi's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Jennifer Maia extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roxanne Modafferi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.