November 20, 2020
UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Valentina Shevchenko's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Valentina Shevchenko for the expected result. Had Jennifer Maia pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +26 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Valentina Shevchenko captured the UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Valentina Shevchenko earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 249 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 023 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Valentina Shevchenko dominated the striking exchanges with 249 vs 94 total strikes, 62 vs 36 significant strikes, 52.1% vs 40.9% accuracy. Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:51 | 9:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Valentina Shevchenko controlled Jennifer Maia on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 9:34 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Jennifer Maia's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +31 |
Valentina Shevchenko continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jennifer Maia's now at 0.
| Metric | Jennifer Maia | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.