Jeremiah Wells vs Max Griffin

February 9, 2024

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1137
(-23)
Jeremiah Wells
Winner: Max Griffin
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jeremiah Wells-23
Max Griffin+25
1161
(+25)
Max Griffin

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -39Max Griffin: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Total UFC Fights616
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO1 1511 144
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Max Griffin's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Griffin for the expected result. Had Jeremiah Wells pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -23Max Griffin: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0371 048
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -10Max Griffin: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2121 252
ELO Change-10+10
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Max Griffin receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -23Max Griffin: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Significant Strikes Landed3226
Significant Strikes Attempted8653
Total Strikes Landed4336
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2751 290
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Jeremiah Wells controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (32 vs 26), superior accuracy (37.2% vs 49.1%). However, since Jeremiah Wells lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Max Griffin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -35Max Griffin: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time1:401:40
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2391 208
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Max Griffin did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jeremiah Wells on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:40 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -15Max Griffin: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Days Since Last Fight190225
Activity ELO1 0811 213
ELO Change-15+19
💡

What Happened

Max Griffin demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Max Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremiah Wells's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -23Max Griffin: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0601 083
ELO Change-23+25
💡

What Happened

Max Griffin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremiah Wells is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremiah Wells: -23Max Griffin: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremiah WellsMax Griffin
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0371 046
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.