February 9, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Max Griffin's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Griffin for the expected result. Had Jeremiah Wells pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 212 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Max Griffin receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 275 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Jeremiah Wells controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (32 vs 26), superior accuracy (37.2% vs 49.1%). However, since Jeremiah Wells lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Max Griffin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 239 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Max Griffin did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jeremiah Wells on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:40 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Max Griffin demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Max Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremiah Wells's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Max Griffin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremiah Wells is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

