June 25, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +120 | -120 |
Jeremiah Wells overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Warlley Alves.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:30 | 0:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 143 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +143 | -70 |
Jeremiah Wells gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +158 | -158 |
Jeremiah Wells controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 15 significant strikes, 40.4% vs 88.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jeremiah Wells capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:32 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 069 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Jeremiah Wells landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 157 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Jeremiah Wells demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jeremiah Wells capitalized on this activity level, while Warlley Alves's 157-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Jeremiah Wells started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Warlley Alves is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremiah Wells | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.