Jeremy Horn vs Nate Marquardt

February 1, 2008

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1069
(-39)
Jeremy Horn
Winner: Nate Marquardt
Submission
Round 2 • 1:37

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jeremy Horn-39
Nate Marquardt+45
1170
(+45)
Nate Marquardt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -22Nate Marquardt: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Total UFC Fights116
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 0091 166
ELO Change-22+30
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What Happened

Nate Marquardt overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jeremy Horn.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -21Nate Marquardt: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0381 084
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -49Nate Marquardt: +76

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:371:37
Win Type ELO1 1661 234
ELO Change-49+76
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What Happened

Nate Marquardt earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jeremy Horn was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -76Nate Marquardt: +76

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Significant Strikes Landed522
Significant Strikes Attempted1130
Total Strikes Landed1228
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0901 275
ELO Change-76+76
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What Happened

Nate Marquardt controlled the striking exchanges with 22 vs 5 significant strikes, 73.3% vs 45.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nate Marquardt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -84Nate Marquardt: +84

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted32
Ground Control Time1:233:58
Ground Strikes Landed310
Ground ELO1 0321 286
ELO Change-84+84
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt dominated Jeremy Horn on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:58 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -23Nate Marquardt: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Days Since Last Fight617211
Activity ELO1 1231 134
ELO Change-23+29
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Marquardt capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Horn's 617-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -21Nate Marquardt: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0581 100
ELO Change-21+23
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What Happened

Nate Marquardt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Horn is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Horn: -21Nate Marquardt: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy HornNate Marquardt
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0331 080
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.