January 16, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +45 |
Rousimar Palhares overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jeremy Horn.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 067 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Rousimar Palhares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 124 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Rousimar Palhares dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 22 total strikes, 18 vs 7 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 19.4% accuracy. Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 11:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 841 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Rousimar Palhares dominated Jeremy Horn on the ground with 7 vs 1 takedowns, 11:03 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 073 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +53 |
Rousimar Palhares demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Horn's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 013 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Rousimar Palhares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Horn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 990 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.