November 18, 2005
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Jeremy Horn's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Horn for the expected result. Had Trevor Prangley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 177 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Jeremy Horn earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 151 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Trevor Prangley lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Jeremy Horn's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:49 | 9:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jeremy Horn did not secure a significant ground advantage against Trevor Prangley on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:49 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 128 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -18 |
Jeremy Horn demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Horn capitalized on this activity level, while Trevor Prangley's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Jeremy Horn started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevor Prangley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Horn | Trevor Prangley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.