November 10, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Pete Spratt's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pete Spratt for the expected result. Had Jeremy Jackson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:11 | 1:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 930 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +44 |
Pete Spratt earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jeremy Jackson was submitted.
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 929 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Pete Spratt edged the striking exchanges with 40 vs 20 total strikes, 12 vs 5 significant strikes, 80.0% vs 35.7% accuracy. Pete Spratt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:22 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 818 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Pete Spratt controlled Jeremy Jackson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:06 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 143 | 463 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +16 |
Pete Spratt demonstrated extended layoff with 463 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Pete Spratt capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Jackson's 1143-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Pete Spratt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Jackson | Pete Spratt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.