Jeremy Larsen vs Lucas Martins

May 17, 2013

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

934
(-31)
Jeremy Larsen
Winner: Lucas Martins
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:13

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jeremy Larsen-31
Lucas Martins+41
1012
(+41)
Lucas Martins

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -21Lucas Martins: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9581 009
ELO Change-21+32
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -21Lucas Martins: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9581 003
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -40Lucas Martins: +79

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:130:13
Win Type ELO9181 056
ELO Change-40+79
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What Happened

Lucas Martins gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -82Lucas Martins: +82

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Significant Strikes Landed5239
Significant Strikes Attempted108111
Total Strikes Landed5944
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO8341 007
ELO Change-82+82
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What Happened

Jeremy Larsen controlled the striking through superior volume (59 vs 44 total strikes), significant strike advantage (52 vs 39), superior accuracy (48.1% vs 35.1%), 1 knockdown. However, since Jeremy Larsen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lucas Martins's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -21Lucas Martins: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted70
Ground Control Time3:250:04
Ground Strikes Landed42
Ground ELO926974
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Lucas Martins landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -21Lucas Martins: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Days Since Last Fight351119
Activity ELO9581 037
ELO Change-21+51
💡

What Happened

Lucas Martins demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lucas Martins capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Larsen's 351-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -21Lucas Martins: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9581 007
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Lucas Martins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Larsen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jeremy Larsen: -21Lucas Martins: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJeremy LarsenLucas Martins
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9581 003
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.