July 27, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 29 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 146 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +43 |
Jose Aldo overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 29 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jeremy Stephens.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 079 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:19 | 4:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 408 | 1 518 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +100 |
Jose Aldo earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 333 | 1 412 |
| ELO Change | -145 | +145 |
Jose Aldo controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 20 significant strikes, 46.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jose Aldo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Jose Aldo landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 313 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +34 |
Jose Aldo demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jose Aldo capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 120 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +16 |
Jose Aldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.