February 23, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 28 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 22 | -22 |
| Experience ELO | 1 166 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jeremy Stephens's 22-fight experience advantage (28 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Stephens for the expected result. Had Josh Emmett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 089 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 454 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -26 |
Jeremy Stephens gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 478 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Jeremy Stephens controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 18 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 206 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Jeremy Stephens landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 41 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 340 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -19 |
Jeremy Stephens demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 41 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Emmett's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 135 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Jeremy Stephens extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Emmett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.