December 31, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -38 |
Jeremy Stephens overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcus Davis.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:33 | 2:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 220 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -59 |
Jeremy Stephens gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 292 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Jeremy Stephens controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 17 significant strikes, 36.8% vs 22.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:02 | 4:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 064 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Jeremy Stephens landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 163 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -27 |
Jeremy Stephens demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Marcus Davis's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Jeremy Stephens started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcus Davis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Marcus Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 033 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.