July 16, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 34 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 31 | -31 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +99 |
Mateusz Gamrot overcame a 31-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 34 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jeremy Stephens.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:05 | 1:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 203 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +110 |
Mateusz Gamrot earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Mateusz Gamrot controlled Jeremy Stephens on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 434 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 196 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +79 |
Mateusz Gamrot demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mateusz Gamrot capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Mateusz Gamrot extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.