November 8, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Jeremy Stephens's 13-fight experience advantage (17 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Stephens for the expected result. Had Rony Jason pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:40 | 0:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 287 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +121 | -46 |
Jeremy Stephens secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:40 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 239 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Jeremy Stephens controlled the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 161 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 172 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Jeremy Stephens demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Rony Jason's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Jeremy Stephens extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rony Jason is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Rony Jason |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.