May 7, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jeremy Stephens receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 181 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 234 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Sam Stout controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (70 vs 55), 1 knockdown. However, since Sam Stout lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jeremy Stephens's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:12 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jeremy Stephens landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 234 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Jeremy Stephens demonstrated standard activity with 234 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Stout's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Jeremy Stephens extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Stout is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 028 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.