June 20, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Spencer Fisher's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Jeremy Stephens pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Spencer Fisher earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 132 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 128 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Spencer Fisher dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 63 total strikes, 56 vs 23 significant strikes, 53.8% vs 41.8% accuracy. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:34 | 8:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 017 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Spencer Fisher controlled Jeremy Stephens on the ground with 1 takedown, 8:42 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 150 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Spencer Fisher demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's 150-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 013 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Spencer Fisher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeremy Stephens | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.