Jerome Rivera vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

July 9, 2021

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

874
(-23)
Jerome Rivera
Winner: Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Submission
Round 1 • 2:02

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jerome Rivera-23
Zhalgas Zhumagulov+28
981
(+28)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -26Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Total UFC Fights43
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO858977
ELO Change-26+27
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -20Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO918980
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -37Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:022:02
Win Type ELO854998
ELO Change-37+64
💡

What Happened

Zhalgas Zhumagulov earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:02, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -13Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Significant Strikes Landed1110
Significant Strikes Attempted4024
Total Strikes Landed1110
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO807974
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Jerome Rivera controlled the striking through superior accuracy (27.5% vs 41.7%). However, since Jerome Rivera lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Zhalgas Zhumagulov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -29Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:000:12
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO795965
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -20Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Days Since Last Fight154168
Activity ELO921995
ELO Change-20+35
💡

What Happened

Zhalgas Zhumagulov demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zhalgas Zhumagulov capitalized on this activity level, while Jerome Rivera's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -20Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO919982
ELO Change-20+22
💡

What Happened

Zhalgas Zhumagulov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jerome Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jerome Rivera: -20Zhalgas Zhumagulov: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJerome RiveraZhalgas Zhumagulov
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO918980
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.