March 12, 1998
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Jerry Bohlander's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jerry Bohlander for the expected result. Had Kevin Jackson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 10:23 | 10:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 252 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -33 |
Jerry Bohlander earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 10:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 173 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Kevin Jackson controlled the striking through superior volume (35 vs 9 total strikes), significant strike advantage (18 vs 5), superior accuracy (72.0% vs 29.4%). However, since Kevin Jackson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jerry Bohlander's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Jerry Bohlander edged out Kevin Jackson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 399 | 82 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Jerry Bohlander demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jerry Bohlander capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Jackson's 82-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -18 |
Jerry Bohlander extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Kevin Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.