February 6, 1997
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Jerry Bohlander's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jerry Bohlander for the expected result. Had Nick Sanzo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -26 |
Jerry Bohlander locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:39 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 236 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +171 | -17 |
Jerry Bohlander demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jerry Bohlander capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Sanzo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Jerry Bohlander extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Sanzo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Nick Sanzo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

