February 6, 1997
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jerry Bohlander's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jerry Bohlander for the expected result. Had Rainy Martinez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:24 | 1:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 142 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -32 |
Jerry Bohlander earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:24, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 0 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Jerry Bohlander demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jerry Bohlander capitalized on this activity level, while Rainy Martinez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Jerry Bohlander extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rainy Martinez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jerry Bohlander | Rainy Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

