Jesse Butler vs Jim Miller

June 2, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

979
(-21)
Jesse Butler
Winner: Jim Miller
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:23

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jesse Butler-21
Jim Miller+25
1199
(+25)
Jim Miller

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -21Jim Miller: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Total UFC Fights142
Experience Gap-4141
Experience ELO9791 142
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller's 41-fight experience advantage (42 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Jesse Butler pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -17Jim Miller: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9831 090
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -12Jim Miller: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:230:23
Win Type ELO9881 339
ELO Change-12+36
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:23 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -58Jim Miller: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Significant Strikes Landed13
Significant Strikes Attempted75
Total Strikes Landed13
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9421 243
ELO Change-58+58
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 14.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -25Jim Miller: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9751 225
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -6Jim Miller: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Days Since Last FightN/A105
Activity ELO9941 322
ELO Change-6+15
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Jesse Butler's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -13Jim Miller: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9871 146
ELO Change-13+15
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesse Butler is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Butler: -17Jim Miller: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse ButlerJim Miller
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 088
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.