June 23, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:47 | 4:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +90 |
Matt Hamill earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 93 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 906 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Matt Hamill dominated the striking exchanges with 93 vs 16 total strikes, 33 vs 9 significant strikes, 68.8% vs 42.9% accuracy. Matt Hamill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 935 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Matt Hamill controlled Jesse Forbes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:55 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Matt Hamill demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Matt Hamill capitalized on this activity level, while Jesse Forbes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Matt Hamill started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesse Forbes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jesse Forbes | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.