Jesse Ronson vs Joaquim Silva

September 30, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

865
(-29)
Jesse Ronson
Winner: Joaquim Silva
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:08

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jesse Ronson-29
Joaquim Silva+32
1033
(+32)
Joaquim Silva

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -19Joaquim Silva: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Total UFC Fights68
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO8641 051
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joaquim Silva for the expected result. Had Jesse Ronson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -16Joaquim Silva: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9061 028
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -27Joaquim Silva: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:083:08
Win Type ELO9051 118
ELO Change-27+55
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -100Joaquim Silva: +100

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Significant Strikes Landed3945
Significant Strikes Attempted8390
Total Strikes Landed3951
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO797956
ELO Change-100+100
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 45 vs 39 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joaquim Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -21Joaquim Silva: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:000:11
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO7251 005
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -16Joaquim Silva: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Days Since Last Fight168469
Activity ELO9111 034
ELO Change-16+14
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva demonstrated extended layoff with 469 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Joaquim Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Jesse Ronson's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -15Joaquim Silva: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9071 041
ELO Change-15+16
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesse Ronson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jesse Ronson: -16Joaquim Silva: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJesse RonsonJoaquim Silva
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9061 028
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.