July 5, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 908 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 940 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 976 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Kevin Lee receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 975 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Kevin Lee edged the striking exchanges. Kevin Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 7:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 802 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Kevin Lee dominated Jesse Ronson on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 7:07 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 943 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +34 |
Kevin Lee demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Jesse Ronson's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 940 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Kevin Lee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesse Ronson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jesse Ronson | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 940 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.