March 19, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Montel Jackson's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Montel Jackson for the expected result. Had Jesse Strader pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:58 | 1:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 972 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +68 |
Montel Jackson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 930 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Montel Jackson dominated the striking exchanges, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Montel Jackson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Montel Jackson landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 246 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Montel Jackson demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Montel Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while Jesse Strader's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Montel Jackson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesse Strader is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jesse Strader | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

