January 13, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 110 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -29 |
Jessica-Rose Clark overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paige VanZant.
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 066 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Jessica-Rose Clark earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Paige VanZant controlled the striking through superior volume (96 vs 78 total strikes), superior accuracy (45.8% vs 56.1%). However, since Paige VanZant lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jessica-Rose Clark's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:37 | 2:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 069 | 863 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Jessica-Rose Clark edged out Paige VanZant on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:37 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 57 | 393 |
| Activity ELO | 1 141 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +120 | -24 |
Jessica-Rose Clark demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 57 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jessica-Rose Clark capitalized on this activity level, while Paige VanZant's 393-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Jessica-Rose Clark extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paige VanZant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica-Rose Clark | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.