July 13, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 976 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Jessica Aguilar earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 128 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 199 | 190 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 138 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Jessica Aguilar dominated the striking exchanges with 138 vs 81 total strikes, 128 vs 81 significant strikes, 64.3% vs 42.6% accuracy. Jessica Aguilar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:34 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Jessica Aguilar did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jodie Esquibel on the ground with 1:34 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 427 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Jessica Aguilar demonstrated extended layoff with 427 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jessica Aguilar capitalized on this activity level, while Jodie Esquibel's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Jessica Aguilar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jodie Esquibel is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

