Jessica Andrade vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz

September 7, 2018

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1230
(+31)
Jessica Andrade
Winner: Jessica Andrade
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:58

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jessica Andrade+31
Karolina Kowalkiewicz-25
1082
(-25)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +30Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Total UFC Fights148
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 1731 097
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Jessica Andrade's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Andrade for the expected result. Had Karolina Kowalkiewicz pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +19Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1241 053
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +57Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:581:58
Win Type ELO1 3041 063
ELO Change+57-24
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What Happened

Jessica Andrade earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +68Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -68

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Significant Strikes Landed3824
Significant Strikes Attempted7356
Total Strikes Landed3925
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2961 053
ELO Change+68-68
💡

What Happened

Jessica Andrade controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 24 significant strikes, 52.1% vs 42.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jessica Andrade capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +7Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:010:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 4331 124
ELO Change+7-7
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +22Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Days Since Last Fight196154
Activity ELO1 2391 146
ELO Change+22-18
💡

What Happened

Jessica Andrade demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +24Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 1541 069
ELO Change+24-18
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What Happened

Jessica Andrade extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karolina Kowalkiewicz is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Andrade: +19Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica AndradeKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1181 047
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.