September 12, 2014
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 062 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jessica Andrade's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Andrade for the expected result. Had Larissa Pacheco pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:33 | 4:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 076 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -41 |
Jessica Andrade earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 026 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Jessica Andrade controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 11 total strikes, 19 vs 6 significant strikes, 79.2% vs 46.2% accuracy. Jessica Andrade capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:21 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 872 |
| ELO Change | +128 | -128 |
Jessica Andrade dominated Larissa Pacheco on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:21 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 093 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Jessica Andrade demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Larissa Pacheco's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Jessica Andrade extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Larissa Pacheco is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Larissa Pacheco |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.