April 12, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 27 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 196 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Jessica Andrade's 14-fight experience advantage (27 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Andrade for the expected result. Had Marina Rodriguez pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 164 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 355 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jessica Andrade receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 180 | 228 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 329 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jessica Andrade controlled the striking exchanges with 124 vs 94 total strikes, 89 vs 82 significant strikes, 49.4% vs 36.0% accuracy. Jessica Andrade capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:53 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 309 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Jessica Andrade controlled Marina Rodriguez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:53 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Jessica Andrade demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Marina Rodriguez's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 177 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Jessica Andrade extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marina Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 120 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.