February 21, 2015
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +38 |
Marion Reneau overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jessica Andrade.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 029 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +89 |
Marion Reneau earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 005 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jessica Andrade controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Jessica Andrade lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marion Reneau's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Marion Reneau edged out Jessica Andrade on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 50 |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +127 |
Marion Reneau demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 50 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Marion Reneau capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Andrade's 163-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Marion Reneau extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessica Andrade is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Marion Reneau |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.