May 10, 2019
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 205 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jessica Andrade's 6-fight experience advantage (15 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Andrade for the expected result. Had Rose Namajunas pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 206 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -27 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Jessica Andrade captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:58 | 2:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 405 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -49 |
Jessica Andrade gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 125 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 353 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Rose Namajunas controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (55 vs 47), 1 knockdown. However, since Rose Namajunas lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jessica Andrade's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 467 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jessica Andrade edged out Rose Namajunas on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 1 262 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Jessica Andrade demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Rose Namajunas's 399-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 182 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -20 |
Jessica Andrade extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rose Namajunas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 138 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.