July 10, 2020
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +49 |
Rose Namajunas overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jessica Andrade.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 158 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 325 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rose Namajunas receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 205 | 235 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Rose Namajunas edged the striking exchanges with 82 vs 71 significant strikes. Rose Namajunas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 361 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 427 |
| Activity ELO | 1 209 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +22 |
Rose Namajunas demonstrated extended layoff with 427 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Rose Namajunas capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Andrade's 315-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 132 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Rose Namajunas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessica Andrade is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 089 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.