February 23, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jessica Andrade's 5-fight experience advantage (13 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Andrade for the expected result. Had Tecia Pennington pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 105 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 247 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Jessica Andrade earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 178 | 150 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 151 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 228 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jessica Andrade dominated the striking exchanges with 151 vs 88 total strikes, 92 vs 69 significant strikes. Jessica Andrade capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 10 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:15 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 38 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 426 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Jessica Andrade dominated Tecia Pennington on the ground with 10 vs 2 takedowns, 7:15 of control time, 38 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 156 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 217 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Jessica Andrade demonstrated solid activity levels with 156 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Tecia Pennington's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Jessica Andrade extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tecia Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Andrade | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 099 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.