Jessica Eye vs Katlyn Cerminara

December 7, 2018

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1015
(+31)
Jessica Eye
Winner: Jessica Eye
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jessica Eye+31
Katlyn Cerminara-27
1051
(-27)
Katlyn Cerminara

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +43Katlyn Cerminara: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Total UFC Fights106
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 0381 080
ELO Change+43-43
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What Happened

Jessica Eye's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Eye for the expected result. Had Katlyn Cerminara pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +26Katlyn Cerminara: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0061 035
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +15Katlyn Cerminara: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0041 119
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jessica Eye receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +34Katlyn Cerminara: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Significant Strikes Landed8165
Significant Strikes Attempted190201
Total Strikes Landed8370
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9991 034
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Jessica Eye controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 65 significant strikes, 42.6% vs 32.3% accuracy. Jessica Eye capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +24Katlyn Cerminara: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:200:50
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO980990
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Jessica Eye did not secure a significant ground advantage against Katlyn Cerminara on the ground with 0:20 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +44Katlyn Cerminara: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Days Since Last Fight169134
Activity ELO1 0631 064
ELO Change+44-25
💡

What Happened

Jessica Eye demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Eye capitalized on this activity level, while Katlyn Cerminara's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +34Katlyn Cerminara: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0261 051
ELO Change+34-26
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What Happened

Jessica Eye extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Katlyn Cerminara is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jessica Eye: +26Katlyn Cerminara: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJessica EyeKatlyn Cerminara
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0051 035
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.