December 7, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Jessica Eye's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Eye for the expected result. Had Katlyn Cerminara pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 004 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jessica Eye receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 81 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 190 | 201 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Jessica Eye controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 65 significant strikes, 42.6% vs 32.3% accuracy. Jessica Eye capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 0:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Jessica Eye did not secure a significant ground advantage against Katlyn Cerminara on the ground with 0:20 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 063 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -25 |
Jessica Eye demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Eye capitalized on this activity level, while Katlyn Cerminara's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -26 |
Jessica Eye extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Katlyn Cerminara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Eye | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

