June 19, 2015
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joanna Jedrzejczyk for the expected result. Had Jessica Penne pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +47 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Joanna Jedrzejczyk captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:22 | 4:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 984 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +54 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 126 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 204 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 162 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk dominated the striking exchanges with 162 vs 28 total strikes, 126 vs 25 significant strikes, 61.8% vs 28.4% accuracy. Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:34 | 1:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 010 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk controlled Jessica Penne on the ground with 1:48 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +39 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Penne's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +25 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessica Penne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.