August 6, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -35 |
Jessica Penne overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:32 | 4:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 001 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -46 |
Jessica Penne earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 947 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Jessica Penne slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Jessica Penne capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:13 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 884 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Jessica Penne dominated Karolina Kowalkiewicz on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:13 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 532 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -26 |
Jessica Penne demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Penne capitalized on this activity level, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 532-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Jessica Penne extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karolina Kowalkiewicz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.