April 16, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Jessica Penne's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Penne for the expected result. Had Loopy Godinez pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 988 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 925 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jessica Penne receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 917 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Jessica Penne controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 68 total strikes, 31 vs 40 significant strikes, 35.6% vs 54.1% accuracy. Jessica Penne capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:30 | 4:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Jessica Penne did not secure a significant ground advantage against Loopy Godinez on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:30 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 456 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
Jessica Penne demonstrated extended layoff with 1456 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jessica Penne capitalized on this activity level, while Loopy Godinez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Jessica Penne started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Loopy Godinez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

