December 11, 2014
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jessica Penne receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 024 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Randa Markos controlled the striking through superior volume (76 vs 94 total strikes), significant strike advantage (55 vs 39), superior accuracy (53.9% vs 39.8%). However, since Randa Markos lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jessica Penne's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:41 | 2:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 058 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Jessica Penne controlled Randa Markos on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 6:41 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jessica Penne demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jessica Penne capitalized on this activity level, while Randa Markos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jessica Penne started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randa Markos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

