March 3, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 921 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Tabatha Ricci overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jessica Penne.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 968 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:14 | 2:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 930 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +45 |
Tabatha Ricci earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:14, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jessica Penne was submitted.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 859 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Tabatha Ricci dominated the striking exchanges with 81 vs 19 total strikes, 36 vs 6 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 24.0% accuracy. Tabatha Ricci capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 916 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -133 | +133 |
Tabatha Ricci dominated Jessica Penne on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:14 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 288 |
| Activity ELO | 1 012 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Tabatha Ricci demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Tabatha Ricci capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Penne's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Tabatha Ricci extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessica Penne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Penne | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 966 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.