November 29, 2013
Ultimate Fighter 18 Women's Bantamweight Tournament Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +90 |
Julianna Pena earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 890 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -110 | +110 |
Julianna Pena dominated the striking exchanges with 66 vs 8 total strikes, 33 vs 4 significant strikes, 43.4% vs 80.0% accuracy. Julianna Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 4:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 32 |
| Ground ELO | 926 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Julianna Pena controlled Jessica Rakoczy on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:27 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Julianna Pena demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Julianna Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Rakoczy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Julianna Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessica Rakoczy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jessica Rakoczy | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

